How Activity Data Can Transform Forecasting in a Downturn?
July 29, 2022
5 min read
Topics covered in this article
Activity data exhaust from our sales tech investments is the new oil of revenue operations in the 2020s. Most sales organizations use between 10 to 30 sales and marketing tools but poorly analyze the usage & activity data from those tools to make business decisions.
Examples of primary activity data include:
Buyer emails and content of those emails
Seller emails and content of those emails
Gong call recordings - sentiment, topics, talk time
Buyer activity on your digital content, such as website data
Intent data from Zoominfo, Demandbase, 6sense
Number of Digital deal reviews in tools like BoostUp
Who is using insights in revenue intelligence
Deal updates by Reps
Two-way activity and its inverse Lack-of-activity are the best predictors of deal velocity and pipeline quality. Lack of activity from the buyer is the same as buyer disengagement and is the best predictor of deal stalling.
This activity data, when captured completely and matched accurately at the opportunity level, helps you de-risk your forecast in the following areas:
The first week of the quarter → Activity-Adjusted-Pipeline tells you what your real pipeline for the quarter is. Grading all your pipeline based on lack of recent activity or engagement and overall risk reveals true pipeline and true pipeline coverage per rep. And if Activity-Adjusted-Pipeline and coverage are less than desired, you can now adjust sales strategy for the quarter much earlier in the cycle.
Towards the mid/end of the quarter → Activity-based-Pull-Forward-Deals data on deals will tell you which deals are not in commit but should be since the activity and engagement levels on those deals are spiking up. Or maybe the rep is working the deal for the next quarter, with the potential for pulling that deal into the quarter hiding in plain sight
More objective forecasts. If the deal activity data doesn’t align with the rep’s calls, it allows you to identify that specifically and resolve that with the rep’s forecasts. Activity data gives you another lens to verify and build confidence in the forecast.
Account & opportunity allocation – Activity measures the rep’s pipe creation and progression efforts. Activity data can be easily turned into Time-Spent-Per-Opp, which is powerful in determining if the reps should still hold on to their old accounts and opportunities. Also, the # of accounts a rep can carry is partly a function of how many deals they can keep alive with good quality activity and engagement. Activity data allows us to go beyond the 20 accounts per rep model to a more personalized approach for each rep based on each rep's activity and effort levels.
When combined with a great forecasting process, activity data can result in the goldilocks zone of forecasting, which is 98-99% accurate.
What is Goldilock's zone of forecasting?
That’s when you are within 1-2% of your forecast. This allows you to make:
Right headcount planning
Right marketing budgeting and allocations
Hire high-quality talent
Goldilock's zone of forecasting doesn’t happen on its own. It takes rigor, process, tools, and data to get it right. You need:
You need to go deal-by-deal forecasting. Top-down gut calls aren’t enough.
You must triangulate from calls, weighted averages, AI projections, and deal-by-deal roll-ups.
You need to get overlays such as reps, SCs, and account managers to forecast and compare their forecasts with rep forecasts.
Read our advanced forecasting guide and list to our recent "Art and Science of Sales Forecasting" masterclass to learn more about getting to the Goldilocks zone of forecasting.
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